The Good Shepherd poster
6.7
Arcplot Score
Unverified

The Good Shepherd

2006167 minR
Director: Robert De Niro

Edward Wilson, the only witness to his father's suicide and member of the Skull and Bones Society while a student at Yale, is a morally upright young man who values honor and discretion, qualities that help him to be recruited for a career in the newly founded OSS. His dedication to his work does not come without a price though, leading him to sacrifice his ideals and eventually his family.

Revenue$100.3M
Budget$85.0M
Profit
+15.3M
+18%

Working with a substantial budget of $85.0M, the film achieved a modest success with $100.3M in global revenue (+18% profit margin).

TMDb6.3
Popularity2.5
Where to Watch
Amazon VideoApple TVGoogle Play MoviesYouTubeFandango At HomeSpectrum On Demand

Plot Structure

Story beats plotted across runtime

Act ISetupAct IIConfrontationAct IIIResolutionWorldbuilding3Resistance5Premise8Opposition10Crisis12Synthesis14124679111315
Color Timeline
Color timeline
Sound Timeline
Sound timeline
Threshold
Section
Plot Point

Narrative Arc

Emotional journey through the story's key moments

+1-2-6
0m41m83m124m166m
Plot Point
Act Threshold
Emotional Arc

Story Circle

Blueprint 15-beat structure

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Arcplot Score Breakdown

Structural Adherence: Flexible
8.6/10
4/10
0.5/10
Overall Score6.7/10

Weighted: Precision (70%) + Arc (15%) + Theme (15%)

The Good Shepherd (2006) exemplifies precise narrative design, characteristic of Robert De Niro's storytelling approach. This structural analysis examines how the film's 14-point plot structure maps to proven narrative frameworks across 2 hours and 47 minutes. With an Arcplot score of 6.7, the film balances conventional beats with creative variation.

Structural Analysis

The Status Quo at 2 minutes (1% through the runtime) establishes Edward Wilson at Yale in 1939, a reserved poetry student in the elite Skull and Bones society, living a privileged but emotionally guarded existence before the war changes everything.. Of particular interest, this early placement immediately immerses viewers in the story world.

The inciting incident occurs at 20 minutes when Edward is recruited into intelligence work by the FBI, asked to inform on his poetry professor. This moment disrupts his academic life and introduces him to the world of espionage and moral compromise.. At 12% through the film, this Disruption aligns precisely with traditional story structure. This beat shifts the emotional landscape, launching the protagonist into the central conflict.

The First Threshold at 41 minutes marks the transition into Act II, occurring at 24% of the runtime. This illustrates the protagonist's commitment to Edward fully commits to intelligence work by accepting deployment to London for the OSS during WWII, leaving his new wife and child behind. He actively chooses duty and secrecy over family., moving from reaction to action.

At 84 minutes, the Midpoint arrives at 50% of the runtime—precisely centered, creating perfect narrative symmetry. Notably, this crucial beat The Bay of Pigs operation is revealed to have been compromised. Edward realizes there's a mole in the CIA, raising stakes dramatically. What seemed like professional mastery now reveals vulnerability—the intelligence game has turned against him., fundamentally raising what's at risk. The emotional intensity shifts, dividing the narrative into clear before-and-after phases.

The Collapse moment at 125 minutes (75% through) represents the emotional nadir. Here, Edward receives evidence that his own son may be the leak, or that his son's fiancée is a Soviet agent. The investigation has led to the destruction of his family—the one thing he thought he was protecting through his sacrifice., reveals the protagonist at their lowest point. This beat's placement in the final quarter sets up the climactic reversal.

The Second Threshold at 133 minutes initiates the final act resolution at 80% of the runtime. Edward makes the cold choice to show his son evidence that his fiancée is KGB, destroying his son's engagement and happiness. He chooses the agency over family one final time, fully embracing what he has become., demonstrating the transformation achieved throughout the journey.

Emotional Journey

The Good Shepherd's emotional architecture traces a deliberate progression across 14 carefully calibrated beats.

Narrative Framework

This structural analysis employs a 15-point narrative structure framework that maps key story moments. By mapping The Good Shepherd against these established plot points, we can identify how Robert De Niro utilizes or subverts traditional narrative conventions. The plot point approach reveals not only adherence to structural principles but also creative choices that distinguish The Good Shepherd within the drama genre.

Robert De Niro's Structural Approach

Among the 2 Robert De Niro films analyzed on Arcplot, the average structural score is 7.2, reflecting strong command of classical structure. The Good Shepherd takes a more unconventional approach compared to the director's typical style. For comparative analysis, explore the complete Robert De Niro filmography.

Comparative Analysis

Additional drama films include Eye for an Eye, South Pacific and Kiss of the Spider Woman. For more Robert De Niro analyses, see A Bronx Tale.

Plot Points by Act

Act I

Setup
1

Status Quo

2 min1.2%0 tone

Edward Wilson at Yale in 1939, a reserved poetry student in the elite Skull and Bones society, living a privileged but emotionally guarded existence before the war changes everything.

2

Theme

8 min4.9%0 tone

Dr. Fredericks tells Edward: "Secrecy is a gift. It's a noble gift." This establishes the film's central theme about the cost of secrecy and what one sacrifices for duty.

3

Worldbuilding

2 min1.2%0 tone

Edward's world at Yale is established: his Skull and Bones initiation, his relationship with Laura, his poetry, and his recruitment by the FBI to inform on his professor suspected of being a Nazi sympathizer.

4

Disruption

20 min12.2%-1 tone

Edward is recruited into intelligence work by the FBI, asked to inform on his poetry professor. This moment disrupts his academic life and introduces him to the world of espionage and moral compromise.

5

Resistance

20 min12.2%-1 tone

Edward navigates early wartime intelligence work, marries Clover after a one-night stand (duty over desire), joins the OSS, and is mentored by various intelligence figures who show him the rules of the shadow world.

Act II

Confrontation
6

First Threshold

41 min24.4%-2 tone

Edward fully commits to intelligence work by accepting deployment to London for the OSS during WWII, leaving his new wife and child behind. He actively chooses duty and secrecy over family.

8

Premise

41 min24.4%-2 tone

Edward operates in the world of espionage: London operations, Cold War intelligence gathering, building the CIA, recruiting agents, and learning tradecraft. The "promise" of spy thriller intrigue plays out as he becomes increasingly skilled and isolated.

9

Midpoint

84 min50.0%-3 tone

The Bay of Pigs operation is revealed to have been compromised. Edward realizes there's a mole in the CIA, raising stakes dramatically. What seemed like professional mastery now reveals vulnerability—the intelligence game has turned against him.

10

Opposition

84 min50.0%-3 tone

Edward obsessively hunts for the mole while his personal life crumbles. His son resents him, his marriage is hollow, colleagues become suspects, and the KGB tightens its grip. Trust erodes everywhere as paranoia intensifies.

11

Collapse

125 min75.0%-4 tone

Edward receives evidence that his own son may be the leak, or that his son's fiancée is a Soviet agent. The investigation has led to the destruction of his family—the one thing he thought he was protecting through his sacrifice.

12

Crisis

125 min75.0%-4 tone

Edward sits in darkness with the terrible knowledge that his life's work has cost him everything. He must decide whether to sacrifice his son's happiness for the agency, confronting what his choices have made him.

Act III

Resolution
13

Second Threshold

133 min79.9%-5 tone

Edward makes the cold choice to show his son evidence that his fiancée is KGB, destroying his son's engagement and happiness. He chooses the agency over family one final time, fully embracing what he has become.

14

Synthesis

133 min79.9%-5 tone

Edward executes the resolution: deals with the traitor, watches his son's heartbreak, and continues his CIA work. The mole is identified and handled, but the victory is hollow. The machine continues operating.

15

Transformation

166 min99.4%-5 tone

Edward sits alone in his office, surrounded by secrets, having lost his son's respect, his wife's love, and his own humanity. The transformation is complete: he has become the perfect intelligence officer—isolated, emotionless, and utterly alone.